Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). MacKinnon wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 44.9% vs Kadri 47.7% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 14-7 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 53.7%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 79.2%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 60.7%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 58.9%
58.9%
41.1%
MacKinnon
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
14
(21 meetings)
7
14
MacKinnon
Kadri
Last 10: MacKinnon 2-8 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
2
6
MacKinnon
Kadri
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
0
MacKinnon
Kadri
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
4
8
MacKinnon
Kadri
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (1,053)
46.2% (1,005)
-1.5%
Power Play
36.8% (95)
57.3% (199)
-20.5%
Penalty Kill
65.0% (20)
26.7% (30)
+38.3%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +38.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (860).
MacKinnon shoots right. Kadri is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Kadri
Home
49.4% (553)
47.4% (641)
Away
40.0% (615)
47.6% (593)
By Period
MacKinnon
Kadri
P1
45.3%
46.9%
P2
42.7%
49.5%
P3
45.1%
46.2%
OT
46.2%
42.9%
Final 5 min
49.8%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 04:12 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 15:10 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 11:18 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 11:12 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 00:15 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 07:06 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 3 | 17:55 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 3 | 08:58 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 3 | 08:52 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 2 | 03:33 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 18:07 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 15:08 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 07:35 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 03:51 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 03:38 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 10:40 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 10:34 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |