Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). MacKinnon wins 43.4% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 42.6% vs Kadri 50.0% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 69.3%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 72.6%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 75.2%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 73.8%
73.8%
26.2%
MacKinnon
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
10
(14 meetings)
4
10
MacKinnon
Kadri
Last 10: MacKinnon 3-7 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
2
MacKinnon
Kadri
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
3
MacKinnon
Kadri
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
4
5
MacKinnon
Kadri
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (953)
50.3% (1,002)
-9.6%
Power Play
51.4% (148)
51.4% (72)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (55)
26.3% (19)
+10.1%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. MacKinnon is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (808).
MacKinnon shoots right. Kadri is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (383).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Kadri
Home
42.1% (617)
52.3% (568)
Away
41.7% (540)
47.4% (525)
By Period
MacKinnon
Kadri
P1
43.4%
51.5%
P2
40.9%
49.4%
P3
40.8%
49.2%
OT
55.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
44.0%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
41.9%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2018 | 3 | 15:51 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 22, 2018 | 3 | 13:36 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 22, 2018 | 3 | 13:26 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 22, 2018 | 3 | 07:19 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 22, 2018 | 3 | 07:03 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 22, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 22, 2018 | 2 | 11:29 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 22, 2018 | 2 | 09:17 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 22, 2018 | 2 | 07:36 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 22, 2018 | 2 | 06:02 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 22, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 22, 2018 | 1 | 19:46 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 22, 2018 | 1 | 06:52 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 22, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |