Nathan MacKinnon vs Nick Schmaltz
2016-17 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +19.7% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 50.5% vs Schmaltz 36.0% (+19.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 60.2%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 92.9%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 88.3%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 86.0%
86.0%
14.0%
MacKinnon
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
MacKinnon
Schmaltz
Last 8: MacKinnon 6-2 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
MacKinnon
Schmaltz
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
0
MacKinnon
Schmaltz
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
4
1
MacKinnon
Schmaltz
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,167)
29.6% (253)
+19.7%
Power Play
61.0% (187)
50.0% (18)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (167)
0.0% (1)
+47.9%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +47.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. MacKinnon is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (492).
MacKinnon shoots right. Schmaltz is 35.4% vs right-shot opponents (96).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Schmaltz
Home
57.7% (728)
33.1% (139)
Away
44.0% (793)
28.6% (133)
By Period
MacKinnon
Schmaltz
P1
50.1%
28.8%
P2
52.5%
31.7%
P3
49.3%
31.6%
Final 5 min
55.3%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
50.6%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
30.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2017 | 3 | 10:17 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 19, 2017 | 2 | 16:02 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 19, 2017 | 2 | 08:44 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 19, 2017 | 2 | 08:37 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 19, 2017 | 2 | 00:59 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 19, 2017 | 1 | 16:59 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 19, 2017 | 1 | 06:27 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 19, 2017 | 1 | 04:33 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |