Nathan MacKinnon vs Nick Schmaltz
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. MacKinnon wins 44.5% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 44.9% vs Schmaltz 45.0% (+4.4%)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 63.2%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 77.4%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 53.0%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
MacKinnon
Schmaltz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (1,053)
37.7% (53)
+7.0%
Power Play
36.8% (95)
40.9% (44)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
65.0% (20)
66.7% (3)
-1.7%
On even strength, MacKinnon has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (308).
MacKinnon shoots right. Schmaltz is 39.1% vs right-shot opponents (23).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Schmaltz
Home
49.4% (553)
34.7% (49)
Away
40.0% (615)
45.1% (51)
By Period
MacKinnon
Schmaltz
P1
45.3%
25.9%
P2
42.7%
46.2%
P3
45.1%
42.1%
OT
46.2%
46.7%
Final 5 min
49.8%
34.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
40.0%