Nathan MacKinnon vs Nick Schmaltz
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nick Schmaltz holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 45.9% vs Schmaltz 48.4% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 68.5%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 62.6%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 53.3%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
MacKinnon
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
MacKinnon
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
0
MacKinnon
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (755)
42.9% (133)
+2.9%
Power Play
48.3% (60)
55.1% (89)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
27.6% (29)
47.1% (17)
-19.5%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. MacKinnon is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (208).
MacKinnon shoots right. Schmaltz is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (61).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Schmaltz
Home
49.5% (396)
41.6% (125)
Away
41.7% (448)
54.4% (114)
By Period
MacKinnon
Schmaltz
P1
50.2%
40.0%
P2
43.8%
59.5%
P3
41.4%
45.0%
OT
66.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
41.0%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.4%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2022 | 3 | 01:08 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |