Nathan MacKinnon vs Nick Schmaltz
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.5% vs Schmaltz 42.8% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 57.1%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 76.9%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 64.5%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 65.7%
65.7%
34.3%
MacKinnon
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
MacKinnon
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
MacKinnon
Schmaltz
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
0
MacKinnon
Schmaltz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
0
MacKinnon
Schmaltz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (1,190)
38.5% (309)
+7.0%
Power Play
56.4% (94)
53.2% (79)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (30)
25.0% (12)
+15.0%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. MacKinnon is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (409).
MacKinnon shoots right. Schmaltz is 38.5% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Schmaltz
Home
47.8% (670)
38.0% (184)
Away
44.6% (644)
43.5% (216)
By Period
MacKinnon
Schmaltz
P1
45.3%
40.3%
P2
48.5%
39.9%
P3
45.0%
40.7%
OT
33.3%
70.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2024 | 1 | 18:10 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 13:29 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 04:55 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 03:33 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |