Nathan MacKinnon vs Nick Schmaltz
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.9% vs 49.2%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 49.9% vs Schmaltz 49.4% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 58.5%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 59.8%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 51.0%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
MacKinnon
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
MacKinnon
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
MacKinnon
Schmaltz
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
0
MacKinnon
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (1,266)
48.1% (268)
+1.1%
Power Play
54.9% (193)
50.5% (91)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (55)
58.8% (17)
-9.7%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. MacKinnon is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (414).
MacKinnon shoots right. Schmaltz is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (85).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Schmaltz
Home
50.9% (740)
49.0% (206)
Away
49.0% (774)
49.4% (170)
By Period
MacKinnon
Schmaltz
P1
50.9%
53.6%
P2
51.8%
46.2%
P3
47.1%
50.4%
OT
58.8%
16.7%
Final 5 min
51.2%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.9%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2024 | 1 | 10:43 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 1 | 00:46 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 15:58 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |