Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.4% vs 45.3%). MacKinnon wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 44.9% vs Zacha 46.5% (-0.9%)
Offensive zone
Zacha 58.1%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 70.2%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 50.1%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
MacKinnon
Zacha
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (1,053)
45.3% (247)
-0.6%
Power Play
36.8% (95)
58.1% (31)
-21.3%
Penalty Kill
65.0% (20)
22.2% (18)
+42.8%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +42.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (860).
MacKinnon shoots right. Zacha is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Zacha
Home
49.4% (553)
39.7% (131)
Away
40.0% (615)
49.7% (165)
By Period
MacKinnon
Zacha
P1
45.3%
42.9%
P2
42.7%
46.4%
P3
45.1%
42.3%
OT
46.2%
87.5%
Final 5 min
49.8%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
45.3%