Scouting Report
Pius Suter holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. MacKinnon wins 44.5% vs left-shot opponents — Suter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 45.9% vs Suter 49.4% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 56.3%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 54.1%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 54.2%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
MacKinnon
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
MacKinnon
Suter
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suter
0
1
MacKinnon
Suter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (755)
49.8% (840)
-4.0%
Power Play
48.3% (60)
57.4% (68)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
27.6% (29)
39.6% (96)
-12.0%
On penalty kill, Suter has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
MacKinnon shoots right. Suter is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (414).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Suter
Home
49.5% (396)
49.8% (502)
Away
41.7% (448)
48.8% (502)
By Period
MacKinnon
Suter
P1
50.2%
46.7%
P2
43.8%
51.7%
P3
41.4%
48.9%
OT
66.7%
63.6%
Final 5 min
41.0%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.4%
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2021 | 2 | 08:09 | Defensive | Pius Suter |