Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.8% vs 46.2%). Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.8% vs Suter 46.3% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 14-4 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 64.6%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 57.0%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 56.9%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 58.7%
58.7%
41.3%
MacKinnon
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
4
(18 meetings)
14
4
MacKinnon
Suter
Last 10: MacKinnon 8-2 Suter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
4
0
MacKinnon
Suter
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
6
3
MacKinnon
Suter
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
4
1
MacKinnon
Suter
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (11,218)
46.2% (3,208)
-0.1%
Power Play
53.3% (1,412)
52.9% (278)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (502)
40.3% (303)
+2.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
MacKinnon shoots right. Suter is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,403).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Suter
Home
49.7% (6,444)
46.8% (1,804)
Away
44.0% (6,689)
45.7% (1,985)
By Period
MacKinnon
Suter
P1
47.4%
46.6%
P2
46.6%
46.0%
P3
46.1%
46.1%
OT
48.4%
44.4%
Final 5 min
49.0%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 10:33 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 08:20 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 02:15 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 18:45 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 11:36 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 06:53 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 06:50 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 04:26 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 15:03 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 3 | 17:23 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 15:40 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 06:25 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 1 | 19:29 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 1 | 15:51 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 1 | 05:02 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 2 | 08:09 | Defensive | Pius Suter |