Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 49.9% vs Suter 43.3% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 90.8%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 72.6%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 87.4%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 81.3%
81.3%
18.7%
MacKinnon
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
2
(11 meetings)
9
2
MacKinnon
Suter
Last 10: MacKinnon 8-2 Suter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
0
MacKinnon
Suter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
3
2
MacKinnon
Suter
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
4
0
MacKinnon
Suter
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (1,266)
42.4% (740)
+6.8%
Power Play
54.9% (193)
48.0% (75)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (55)
37.3% (59)
+11.8%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. MacKinnon is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,100).
MacKinnon shoots right. Suter is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Suter
Home
50.9% (740)
41.8% (407)
Away
49.0% (774)
43.3% (467)
By Period
MacKinnon
Suter
P1
50.9%
44.7%
P2
51.8%
41.5%
P3
47.1%
41.9%
OT
58.8%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.9%
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 10:33 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 08:20 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 02:15 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 18:45 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 11:36 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 06:53 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 06:50 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 04:26 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 15:03 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |