Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. MacKinnon wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Suter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 51.3% vs Suter 48.6% (+3.3%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 72.3%
Defensive zone
Suter 71.8%
Neutral zone
Suter 56.0%
Result
Pius Suter favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
MacKinnon
Suter
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (992)
50.1% (357)
-0.1%
Power Play
64.9% (148)
43.8% (16)
+21.1%
Penalty Kill
34.4% (32)
40.5% (79)
-6.1%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +21.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. MacKinnon is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (839).
MacKinnon shoots right. Suter is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (159).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Suter
Home
53.3% (591)
48.0% (223)
Away
49.6% (581)
48.5% (229)
By Period
MacKinnon
Suter
P1
49.9%
48.9%
P2
53.2%
47.3%
P3
50.8%
49.7%
OT
66.7%
25.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.5%
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
48.2%