Scouting Report
Pius Suter holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. MacKinnon wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Suter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.5% vs Suter 49.5% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suter 56.3%
Defensive zone
Suter 53.9%
Neutral zone
Suter 57.7%
Result
Pius Suter favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
MacKinnon
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
MacKinnon
Suter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
0
MacKinnon
Suter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (1,190)
47.2% (299)
-1.7%
Power Play
56.4% (94)
58.9% (56)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (30)
54.5% (22)
-14.5%
On penalty kill, Suter has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. MacKinnon is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (905).
MacKinnon shoots right. Suter is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Suter
Home
47.8% (670)
51.7% (172)
Away
44.6% (644)
47.3% (205)
By Period
MacKinnon
Suter
P1
45.3%
48.2%
P2
48.5%
49.3%
P3
45.0%
51.2%
OT
33.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2024 | 3 | 17:23 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |