Scouting Report
Radek Faksa holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). MacKinnon wins 43.4% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 42.6% vs Faksa 51.5% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Faksa 57.4%
Defensive zone
Faksa 91.0%
Neutral zone
Faksa 81.3%
Result
Radek Faksa favored at 75.9%
24.1%
75.9%
MacKinnon
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
MacKinnon
Faksa
Last 10: MacKinnon 5-5 Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
3
1
MacKinnon
Faksa
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
0
MacKinnon
Faksa
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
MacKinnon
Faksa
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (953)
52.1% (893)
-11.4%
Power Play
51.4% (148)
50.0% (34)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (55)
49.3% (150)
-12.9%
On penalty kill, Faksa has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. MacKinnon is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (808).
MacKinnon shoots right. Faksa is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (367).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Faksa
Home
42.1% (617)
52.6% (548)
Away
41.7% (540)
50.7% (529)
By Period
MacKinnon
Faksa
P1
43.4%
51.5%
P2
40.9%
53.4%
P3
40.8%
50.1%
OT
55.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
44.0%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
41.9%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2018 | 3 | 14:16 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 2 | 15:43 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 2 | 07:03 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 2 | 03:02 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 1 | 08:55 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 1 | 05:58 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 1 | 03:36 | Offensive | Radek Faksa |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 1 | 19:10 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 1 | 06:53 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 2 | 18:03 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 2 | 09:28 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 1 | 14:42 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |