Scouting Report
Radek Faksa holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. MacKinnon wins 44.5% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 45.9% vs Faksa 54.5% (-9.7%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 72.3%
Defensive zone
Faksa 73.9%
Neutral zone
Faksa 59.6%
Result
Radek Faksa favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
MacKinnon
Faksa
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (755)
55.1% (584)
-9.3%
Power Play
48.3% (60)
66.7% (12)
-18.4%
Penalty Kill
27.6% (29)
53.5% (99)
-25.9%
On penalty kill, Faksa has a +25.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
MacKinnon shoots right. Faksa is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (265).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Faksa
Home
49.5% (396)
54.5% (341)
Away
41.7% (448)
55.6% (354)
By Period
MacKinnon
Faksa
P1
50.2%
60.9%
P2
43.8%
53.9%
P3
41.4%
51.4%
OT
66.7%
54.5%
Final 5 min
41.0%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.4%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
55.1%