Who wins more faceoffs, Nathan MacKinnon or Robert Thomas?

Robert Thomas leads the head-to-head 5-3 across 8 faceoffs.

What is Nathan MacKinnon's faceoff record against Robert Thomas?

Nathan MacKinnon is 3-5 against Robert Thomas in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Offensive 1-3, Defensive 1-1, Neutral 1-1.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Nathan MacKinnon or Robert Thomas?

Nathan MacKinnon is the predicted winner with a 60.6% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Nathan MacKinnon vs Robert Thomas

Nathan MacKinnonR vs Robert ThomasR

2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

Robert Thomas holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). MacKinnon wins 44.5% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) MacKinnon 44.9% vs Thomas 52.7% (-8.5%)

H2H factor Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)

Offensive zone MacKinnon 59.8%

Defensive zone MacKinnon 63.7%

Neutral zone MacKinnon 59.1%

Result Nathan MacKinnon favored at 60.6%

60.6%

39.4%

MacKinnon Thomas

Head-to-Head Record

3 - 5 (8 meetings)

MacKinnon Thomas

Last 8: MacKinnon 3-5 Thomas

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone

Edge: Thomas

MacKinnon Thomas

4 total

Defensive Zone

Even

MacKinnon Thomas

2 total

Neutral Zone

Even

MacKinnon Thomas

2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

MacKinnon

Thomas

Edge

Even Strength

44.7% (1,053)

53.6% (924)

-8.9%

Power Play

36.8% (95)

55.2% (181)

-18.4%

Penalty Kill

65.0% (20)

44.0% (116)

+21.0%

On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +21.0% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

Thomas shoots right. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (308).

MacKinnon shoots right. Thomas is 59.4% vs right-shot opponents (352).

Home / Away

MacKinnon

Thomas

Home

49.4% (553)

53.6% (606)

Away

40.0% (615)

52.2% (615)

By Period

MacKinnon

Thomas

45.3%

48.2%

42.7%

55.3%

45.1%

55.2%

46.2%

47.1%

Final 5 min

49.8%

55.1%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

MacKinnon

48.0%▼

54.0%

44.4%

Thomas

42.0%▼

47.0%

52.9%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Feb 18, 2023	3	05:31	Offensive	Robert Thomas
Nov 14, 2022	3	15:58	Defensive	Robert Thomas
Nov 14, 2022	3	13:58	Offensive	Robert Thomas
Nov 14, 2022	3	00:13	Neutral	Robert Thomas
Nov 14, 2022	2	18:59	Neutral	Nathan MacKinnon
Nov 14, 2022	2	13:36	Offensive	Nathan MacKinnon
Nov 14, 2022	2	03:30	Defensive	Nathan MacKinnon
Nov 14, 2022	1	10:03	Offensive	Robert Thomas

MacKinnon's Profile | Thomas's Profile