Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. MacKinnon wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.5% vs Kuraly 48.4% (-1.9%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 73.0%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 74.4%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 50.6%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
MacKinnon
Kuraly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (1,190)
49.4% (445)
-3.9%
Power Play
56.4% (94)
100.0% (3)
-43.6%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (30)
41.9% (117)
-1.9%
On power play, Kuraly has a +43.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. MacKinnon is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (905).
MacKinnon shoots right. Kuraly is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (211).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Kuraly
Home
47.8% (670)
49.2% (248)
Away
44.6% (644)
47.3% (317)
By Period
MacKinnon
Kuraly
P1
45.3%
48.3%
P2
48.5%
44.7%
P3
45.0%
51.7%
Final 5 min
47.4%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
48.1%