Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 49.9% vs Kuraly 53.7% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 63.1%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 91.6%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 69.7%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
MacKinnon
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
MacKinnon
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
0
MacKinnon
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (1,266)
55.3% (515)
-6.1%
Power Play
54.9% (193)
55.6% (9)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (55)
44.8% (58)
+4.3%
On even strength, Kuraly has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. MacKinnon is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,100).
MacKinnon shoots right. Kuraly is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (195).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Kuraly
Home
50.9% (740)
57.3% (293)
Away
49.0% (774)
51.2% (289)
By Period
MacKinnon
Kuraly
P1
50.9%
53.8%
P2
51.8%
51.5%
P3
47.1%
57.6%
OT
58.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.9%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 03:56 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |