Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. MacKinnon wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 44.9% vs Monahan 53.9% (-10.7%)
Offensive zone
Monahan 52.8%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 64.9%
Neutral zone
Monahan 62.4%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
MacKinnon
Monahan
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (1,053)
54.5% (231)
-9.8%
Power Play
36.8% (95)
58.2% (67)
-21.4%
Penalty Kill
65.0% (20)
52.2% (23)
+12.8%
On power play, Monahan has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (860).
MacKinnon shoots right. Monahan is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Monahan
Home
49.4% (553)
53.5% (144)
Away
40.0% (615)
56.5% (177)
By Period
MacKinnon
Monahan
P1
45.3%
52.5%
P2
42.7%
50.9%
P3
45.1%
60.8%
OT
46.2%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%