Nathan MacKinnon vs Sean Monahan
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 42 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.8% vs Monahan 51.3% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 58-58 in 116 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 53.0%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 64.3%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 51.9%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
MacKinnon
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
58
-
58
(116 meetings)
58
58
MacKinnon
Monahan
Last 10: MacKinnon 8-2 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
15
20
MacKinnon
Monahan
35 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
28
14
MacKinnon
Monahan
42 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
15
24
MacKinnon
Monahan
39 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (11,218)
51.1% (11,356)
-5.0%
Power Play
53.3% (1,412)
53.7% (2,580)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (502)
46.0% (766)
-3.2%
On even strength, Monahan has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
MacKinnon shoots right. Monahan is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (5,401).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Monahan
Home
49.7% (6,444)
52.4% (7,358)
Away
44.0% (6,689)
50.2% (7,344)
By Period
MacKinnon
Monahan
P1
47.4%
50.9%
P2
46.6%
51.7%
P3
46.1%
51.0%
OT
48.4%
53.5%
Final 5 min
49.0%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 17:07 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 13:59 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 10:28 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 10:23 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 10:17 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 07:38 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 17:28 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 07:02 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 03:07 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 03:04 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 17:05 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 16:57 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 08:15 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 19:32 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 18:35 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 14:19 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 14:02 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 11:48 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 08:42 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |