Nathan MacKinnon vs Sebastian Aho

2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Sebastian Aho holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). MacKinnon wins 43.7% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) MacKinnon 43.8% vs Aho 46.4% (-2.9%)
H2H factor Aho leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone Aho 56.2%
Defensive zone MacKinnon 72.4%
Neutral zone MacKinnon 60.0%
Result Nathan MacKinnon favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
MacKinnon Aho
Head-to-Head Record
6 - 11 (17 meetings)
6
11
MacKinnon Aho
Last 10: MacKinnon 3-7 Aho

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
3
MacKinnon Aho
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
MacKinnon Aho
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
2
5
MacKinnon Aho
7 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
MacKinnon
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (743)
46.2% (744)
-1.8%
Power Play
35.7% (70)
44.6% (112)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
25.9% (27)
45.5% (33)
-19.6%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +19.6% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Aho shoots left. MacKinnon is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (646).
MacKinnon shoots right. Aho is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (349).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Aho
Home
46.4% (394)
46.7% (445)
Away
40.1% (446)
45.3% (444)
By Period
MacKinnon
Aho
P1
44.4%
48.1%
P2
38.2%
44.9%
P3
46.4%
45.8%
OT
50.0%
12.5%
Final 5 min
44.1%
52.6%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%
54.0%
43.1%
Aho
42.0%
48.0%
46.0%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Feb 28, 2020 3 15:10 Neutral Sebastian Aho
Feb 28, 2020 3 09:44 Offensive Sebastian Aho
Feb 28, 2020 2 11:47 Defensive Sebastian Aho
Feb 28, 2020 2 11:39 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Feb 28, 2020 2 03:16 Defensive Nathan MacKinnon
Feb 28, 2020 1 15:44 Neutral Sebastian Aho
Feb 28, 2020 1 09:29 Defensive Sebastian Aho
Feb 28, 2020 1 06:34 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon
Feb 28, 2020 1 00:15 Offensive Sebastian Aho
Feb 28, 2020 1 00:00 Neutral Sebastian Aho
Dec 19, 2019 3 17:04 Neutral Sebastian Aho
Dec 19, 2019 3 16:03 Offensive Sebastian Aho
Dec 19, 2019 3 15:55 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon
Dec 19, 2019 3 06:23 Neutral Sebastian Aho
Dec 19, 2019 3 03:09 Defensive Nathan MacKinnon
Dec 19, 2019 1 15:16 Defensive Nathan MacKinnon
Dec 19, 2019 1 07:03 Defensive Sebastian Aho