Nathan MacKinnon vs Sebastian Aho
2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). MacKinnon wins 43.7% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 43.8% vs Aho 46.4% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 56.2%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 72.4%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 60.0%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
MacKinnon
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
11
(17 meetings)
6
11
MacKinnon
Aho
Last 10: MacKinnon 3-7 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
3
MacKinnon
Aho
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
MacKinnon
Aho
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
2
5
MacKinnon
Aho
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (743)
46.2% (744)
-1.8%
Power Play
35.7% (70)
44.6% (112)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
25.9% (27)
45.5% (33)
-19.6%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. MacKinnon is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (646).
MacKinnon shoots right. Aho is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (349).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Aho
Home
46.4% (394)
46.7% (445)
Away
40.1% (446)
45.3% (444)
By Period
MacKinnon
Aho
P1
44.4%
48.1%
P2
38.2%
44.9%
P3
46.4%
45.8%
OT
50.0%
12.5%
Final 5 min
44.1%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
43.1%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2020 | 3 | 15:10 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 3 | 09:44 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 2 | 11:47 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 2 | 11:39 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 2 | 03:16 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 1 | 15:44 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 1 | 09:29 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 1 | 06:34 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 1 | 00:15 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 3 | 17:04 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 3 | 16:03 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 3 | 15:55 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 3 | 06:23 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 3 | 03:09 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 1 | 15:16 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 1 | 07:03 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |