Who wins more faceoffs, Nathan MacKinnon or Sebastian Aho?

Sebastian Aho leads the head-to-head 5-4 across 9 faceoffs.

What is Nathan MacKinnon's faceoff record against Sebastian Aho?

Nathan MacKinnon is 4-5 against Sebastian Aho in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Offensive 0-4, Defensive 3-0, Neutral 1-1.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Nathan MacKinnon or Sebastian Aho?

Nathan MacKinnon is the predicted winner with a 55.1% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Nathan MacKinnon vs Sebastian Aho

Nathan MacKinnonR vs Sebastian AhoL

2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

Sebastian Aho holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). MacKinnon wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) MacKinnon 44.9% vs Aho 51.2% (-7.0%)

H2H factor Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)

Offensive zone Aho 57.4%

Defensive zone MacKinnon 71.9%

Neutral zone MacKinnon 54.9%

Result Nathan MacKinnon favored at 55.1%

55.1%

44.9%

MacKinnon Aho

Head-to-Head Record

4 - 5 (9 meetings)

MacKinnon Aho

Last 9: MacKinnon 4-5 Aho

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone

Edge: Aho

MacKinnon Aho

4 total

Defensive Zone

Edge: MacKinnon

MacKinnon Aho

3 total

Neutral Zone

Even

MacKinnon Aho

2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

MacKinnon

Aho

Edge

Even Strength

44.7% (1,053)

48.5% (778)

-3.8%

Power Play

36.8% (95)

63.4% (191)

-26.6%

Penalty Kill

65.0% (20)

50.8% (65)

+14.2%

On power play, Aho has a +26.6% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

Aho shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (860).

MacKinnon shoots right. Aho is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (372).

Home / Away

MacKinnon

Aho

Home

49.4% (553)

51.3% (530)

Away

40.0% (615)

51.4% (504)

By Period

MacKinnon

Aho

45.3%

50.0%

42.7%

51.3%

45.1%

52.1%

46.2%

66.7%

Final 5 min

49.8%

51.9%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

MacKinnon

48.0%▼

54.0%

44.4%

Aho

42.0%▼

48.0%

51.4%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Nov 17, 2022	2	14:04	Defensive	Nathan MacKinnon
Nov 17, 2022	1	06:39	Offensive	Sebastian Aho
Nov 12, 2022	3	08:53	Defensive	Nathan MacKinnon
Nov 12, 2022	3	03:45	Offensive	Sebastian Aho
Nov 12, 2022	3	03:28	Offensive	Sebastian Aho
Nov 12, 2022	2	13:08	Neutral	Nathan MacKinnon
Nov 12, 2022	2	00:12	Neutral	Sebastian Aho
Nov 12, 2022	1	04:19	Defensive	Nathan MacKinnon
Nov 12, 2022	1	04:12	Offensive	Sebastian Aho

MacKinnon's Profile | Aho's Profile