Who wins more faceoffs, Nathan MacKinnon or Sebastian Aho?

Nathan MacKinnon leads the head-to-head 6-5 across 11 faceoffs.

What is Nathan MacKinnon's faceoff record against Sebastian Aho?

Nathan MacKinnon is 6-5 against Sebastian Aho in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Offensive 1-4, Defensive 3-0, Neutral 2-1.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Nathan MacKinnon or Sebastian Aho?

Sebastian Aho is the predicted winner with a 67.5% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Nathan MacKinnon vs Sebastian Aho

Nathan MacKinnonR vs Sebastian AhoL

2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

Sebastian Aho holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) MacKinnon 49.9% vs Aho 54.9% (-5.4%)

H2H factor MacKinnon leads 6-5 in 11 meetings

Offensive zone Aho 75.2%

Defensive zone Aho 56.6%

Neutral zone Aho 65.6%

Result Sebastian Aho favored at 67.5%

32.5%

67.5%

MacKinnon Aho

Head-to-Head Record

6 - 5 (11 meetings)

MacKinnon Aho

Last 10: MacKinnon 6-4 Aho

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone

Edge: Aho

MacKinnon Aho

5 total

Defensive Zone

Edge: MacKinnon

MacKinnon Aho

3 total

Neutral Zone

Edge: MacKinnon

MacKinnon Aho

3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

MacKinnon

Aho

Edge

Even Strength

49.2% (1,266)

54.5% (870)

-5.3%

Power Play

54.9% (193)

62.4% (266)

-7.5%

Penalty Kill

49.1% (55)

37.1% (62)

+12.0%

On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +12.0% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

Aho shoots left. MacKinnon is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,100).

MacKinnon shoots right. Aho is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (393).

Home / Away

MacKinnon

Aho

Home

50.9% (740)

53.9% (603)

Away

49.0% (774)

56.8% (595)

By Period

MacKinnon

Aho

50.9%

54.1%

51.8%

55.0%

47.1%

57.4%

58.8%

33.3%

Final 5 min

51.2%

55.4%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

MacKinnon

48.0%▼

54.0%

49.9%

Aho

42.0%▼

48.0%

55.3%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Dec 5, 2024	3	01:41	Neutral	Sebastian Aho
Nov 9, 2024	3	19:10	Neutral	Nathan MacKinnon
Nov 9, 2024	3	15:27	Defensive	Nathan MacKinnon
Nov 9, 2024	3	15:24	Offensive	Sebastian Aho
Nov 9, 2024	3	11:26	Offensive	Sebastian Aho
Nov 9, 2024	3	06:51	Neutral	Nathan MacKinnon
Nov 9, 2024	1	14:31	Offensive	Nathan MacKinnon
Nov 9, 2024	1	14:12	Defensive	Nathan MacKinnon
Nov 9, 2024	1	06:22	Offensive	Sebastian Aho
Nov 9, 2024	1	00:44	Defensive	Nathan MacKinnon
Nov 9, 2024	1	00:24	Offensive	Sebastian Aho

MacKinnon's Profile | Aho's Profile