Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. MacKinnon wins 44.5% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 44.9% vs Pinto 51.9% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 66.1%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 64.4%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 68.8%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 67.5%
67.5%
32.5%
MacKinnon
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
MacKinnon
Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
1
MacKinnon
Pinto
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
1
MacKinnon
Pinto
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (1,053)
52.5% (825)
-7.8%
Power Play
36.8% (95)
40.0% (10)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
65.0% (20)
44.4% (27)
+20.6%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (308).
MacKinnon shoots right. Pinto is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (262).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Pinto
Home
49.4% (553)
52.8% (453)
Away
40.0% (615)
51.3% (409)
By Period
MacKinnon
Pinto
P1
45.3%
49.0%
P2
42.7%
53.5%
P3
45.1%
53.7%
OT
46.2%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.8%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 14:29 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 08:46 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |