Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.5% vs Pinto 50.5% (-4.4%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 63.6%
Defensive zone
Pinto 53.4%
Neutral zone
Pinto 52.7%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
MacKinnon
Pinto
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (1,190)
51.2% (463)
-5.7%
Power Play
56.4% (94)
50.0% (14)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (30)
36.8% (19)
+3.2%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. MacKinnon is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (409).
MacKinnon shoots right. Pinto is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (155).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Pinto
Home
47.8% (670)
52.2% (205)
Away
44.6% (644)
49.5% (291)
By Period
MacKinnon
Pinto
P1
45.3%
48.7%
P2
48.5%
51.8%
P3
45.0%
51.2%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.6%