Nathan MacKinnon vs Shane Pinto
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on neutral-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). MacKinnon wins 46.0% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.8% vs Pinto 50.3% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 60.6%
Defensive zone
Pinto 81.3%
Neutral zone
Pinto 65.0%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
MacKinnon
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
MacKinnon
Pinto
Last 10: MacKinnon 7-3 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
2
3
MacKinnon
Pinto
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
1
MacKinnon
Pinto
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
7
1
MacKinnon
Pinto
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (11,218)
50.6% (2,716)
-4.5%
Power Play
53.3% (1,412)
54.4% (90)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (502)
44.9% (234)
-2.1%
On even strength, Pinto has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. MacKinnon is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,643).
MacKinnon shoots right. Pinto is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (855).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Pinto
Home
49.7% (6,444)
50.9% (1,501)
Away
44.0% (6,689)
49.6% (1,539)
By Period
MacKinnon
Pinto
P1
47.4%
48.3%
P2
46.6%
51.7%
P3
46.1%
50.9%
OT
48.4%
46.7%
Final 5 min
49.0%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2026 | 3 | 02:06 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 3 | 00:22 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 2 | 14:22 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 2 | 06:36 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 2 | 04:57 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 1 | 03:28 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 01:29 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 06:00 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 19:58 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 16:31 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 10:29 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 14:29 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 08:46 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |