Scouting Report
Timo Meier holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. MacKinnon wins 43.4% vs left-shot opponents — Meier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 42.6% vs Meier 49.2% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Meier 67.3%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 50.2%
Neutral zone
Meier 65.7%
Result
Timo Meier favored at 63.2%
36.8%
63.2%
MacKinnon
Meier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
MacKinnon
Meier
Last 5: MacKinnon 3-2 Meier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
0
MacKinnon
Meier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
0
MacKinnon
Meier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Meier
0
2
MacKinnon
Meier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Meier
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (953)
49.6% (129)
-8.9%
Power Play
51.4% (148)
43.8% (16)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (55)
0.0% (1)
+36.4%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +36.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Meier shoots left. MacKinnon is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (808).
MacKinnon shoots right. Meier is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (66).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Meier
Home
42.1% (617)
46.6% (73)
Away
41.7% (540)
50.7% (73)
By Period
MacKinnon
Meier
P1
43.4%
53.3%
P2
40.9%
49.2%
P3
40.8%
43.6%
OT
55.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.0%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
41.9%
Meier
46.0%▲
44.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2018 | 1 | 19:52 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 3 | 06:08 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 1 | 18:39 | Neutral | Timo Meier |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 1 | 02:41 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Timo Meier |