Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +19.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 49.9% vs Meier 46.0% (+19.1%)
Offensive zone
Meier 53.6%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 68.1%
Neutral zone
Meier 52.1%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
MacKinnon
Meier
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Meier
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (1,266)
30.0% (20)
+19.2%
Power Play
54.9% (193)
33.3% (6)
+21.6%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +21.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Meier shoots left. MacKinnon is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,100).
MacKinnon shoots right. Meier is 35.7% vs right-shot opponents (14).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Meier
Home
50.9% (740)
30.0% (10)
Away
49.0% (774)
31.3% (16)
By Period
MacKinnon
Meier
P1
50.9%
40.0%
P2
51.8%
25.0%
P3
47.1%
25.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.9%
Meier
46.0%▲
44.5%
30.8%