Scouting Report
Timo Meier holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. MacKinnon wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Meier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.5% vs Meier 49.5% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Meier 60.7%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 79.7%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 53.3%
Result
Timo Meier favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
MacKinnon
Meier
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
MacKinnon
Meier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Meier
0
1
MacKinnon
Meier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Meier
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (1,190)
47.4% (57)
-1.9%
Power Play
56.4% (94)
51.5% (33)
+4.9%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Meier shoots left. MacKinnon is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (905).
MacKinnon shoots right. Meier is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (36).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Meier
Home
47.8% (670)
52.4% (42)
Away
44.6% (644)
45.8% (48)
By Period
MacKinnon
Meier
P1
45.3%
55.2%
P2
48.5%
46.7%
P3
45.0%
45.2%
Final 5 min
47.4%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%
Meier
46.0%▲
44.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 02:54 | Offensive | Timo Meier |