Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. MacKinnon wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Meier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 44.9% vs Meier 45.2% (+7.6%)
Offensive zone
Meier 63.1%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 76.7%
Neutral zone
Meier 51.8%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
MacKinnon
Meier
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Meier
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (1,053)
35.7% (56)
+9.0%
Power Play
36.8% (95)
100.0% (1)
-63.2%
On power play, Meier has a +63.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Meier shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (860).
MacKinnon shoots right. Meier is 28.6% vs right-shot opponents (21).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Meier
Home
49.4% (553)
46.9% (32)
Away
40.0% (615)
24.0% (25)
By Period
MacKinnon
Meier
P1
45.3%
40.0%
P2
42.7%
41.2%
P3
45.1%
12.5%
Final 5 min
49.8%
36.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%
Meier
46.0%▲
44.5%
36.8%