Scouting Report
Timo Meier holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. MacKinnon wins 44.5% vs left-shot opponents — Meier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 45.9% vs Meier 49.6% (-3.2%)
Offensive zone
Meier 53.1%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 66.3%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 57.1%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
MacKinnon
Meier
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Meier
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (755)
47.2% (36)
-1.4%
Power Play
48.3% (60)
100.0% (1)
-51.7%
On power play, Meier has a +51.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Meier shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
MacKinnon shoots right. Meier is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (14).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Meier
Home
49.5% (396)
53.8% (13)
Away
41.7% (448)
45.8% (24)
By Period
MacKinnon
Meier
P1
50.2%
50.0%
P2
43.8%
44.4%
P3
41.4%
57.1%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
41.0%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.4%
Meier
46.0%▲
44.5%
48.6%