Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 49.9% vs Nosek 51.4% (-1.9%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 63.7%
Defensive zone
Nosek 67.3%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 53.6%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
MacKinnon
Nosek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (1,266)
53.0% (400)
-3.8%
Power Play
54.9% (193)
33.3% (12)
+21.6%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (55)
45.5% (44)
+3.6%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +21.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. MacKinnon is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,100).
MacKinnon shoots right. Nosek is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (152).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Nosek
Home
50.9% (740)
49.6% (244)
Away
49.0% (774)
54.2% (212)
By Period
MacKinnon
Nosek
P1
50.9%
53.1%
P2
51.8%
51.4%
P3
47.1%
51.1%
Final 5 min
51.2%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
54.0%▬
54.5%
49.9%
Nosek
56.0%▬
55.5%
51.8%