Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 45.9% vs Seguin 55.4% (-10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 62.2%
Defensive zone
Seguin 69.9%
Neutral zone
Seguin 74.8%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 74.8%
25.2%
74.8%
MacKinnon
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
MacKinnon
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
0
MacKinnon
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (755)
56.5% (712)
-10.7%
Power Play
48.3% (60)
59.7% (67)
-11.4%
Penalty Kill
27.6% (29)
44.9% (49)
-17.3%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. MacKinnon is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (208).
MacKinnon shoots right. Seguin is 63.8% vs right-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Seguin
Home
49.5% (396)
58.5% (402)
Away
41.7% (448)
53.8% (426)
By Period
MacKinnon
Seguin
P1
50.2%
58.4%
P2
43.8%
54.7%
P3
41.4%
54.1%
OT
66.7%
72.7%
Final 5 min
41.0%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.4%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2022 | 3 | 17:30 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |