Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). MacKinnon wins 43.7% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 44.2% vs Kadri 45.6% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 56.2%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 53.5%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 53.1%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
MacKinnon
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
MacKinnon
Kadri
Last 10: MacKinnon 2-8 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
1
MacKinnon
Kadri
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
5
MacKinnon
Kadri
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
2
MacKinnon
Kadri
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (407)
44.1% (957)
-2.1%
Power Play
51.2% (43)
51.9% (162)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
50.0% (8)
+0.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. MacKinnon is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (350).
MacKinnon shoots right. Kadri is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (452).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Kadri
Home
42.1% (202)
47.0% (555)
Away
43.6% (250)
43.5% (572)
By Period
MacKinnon
Kadri
P1
43.3%
47.5%
P2
41.5%
45.1%
P3
44.2%
44.2%
OT
37.5%
28.6%
Final 5 min
41.9%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
42.9%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2014 | 3 | 11:36 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 3 | 04:23 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 3 | 01:47 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 2 | 16:39 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 2 | 13:48 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 2 | 13:47 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 2 | 05:39 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 2 | 05:34 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 2 | 03:18 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 1 | 14:22 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 1 | 04:43 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |