Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.0% vs 46.2%). Look for MacKinnon on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 47.5% vs Kadri 46.5% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 67.6%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 50.9%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 56.7%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 59.4%
59.4%
40.6%
MacKinnon
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
MacKinnon
Kadri
Last 6: MacKinnon 5-1 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
MacKinnon
Kadri
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
0
MacKinnon
Kadri
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
3
0
MacKinnon
Kadri
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (365)
47.2% (1,015)
-2.0%
Power Play
57.1% (63)
41.1% (112)
+16.0%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. MacKinnon is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (299).
MacKinnon shoots right. Kadri is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (449).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Kadri
Home
48.0% (225)
45.4% (573)
Away
45.8% (203)
46.9% (571)
By Period
MacKinnon
Kadri
P1
41.1%
48.9%
P2
49.6%
45.2%
P3
48.9%
43.4%
OT
66.7%
61.1%
Final 5 min
47.5%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
47.0%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2014 | 3 | 19:19 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 3 | 14:05 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 2 | 06:33 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 2 | 03:11 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 2 | 02:04 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 1 | 10:52 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |