Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.9% vs 48.1%). Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kadri wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 49.0% vs Dowd 48.3% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 90.8%
Defensive zone
Dowd 94.3%
Neutral zone
Dowd 55.6%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Kadri
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Kadri
Dowd
Last 10: Kadri 4-6 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
4
0
Kadri
Dowd
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
3
Kadri
Dowd
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
3
Kadri
Dowd
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (975)
49.2% (778)
-1.5%
Power Play
54.0% (226)
58.3% (12)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (9)
44.0% (234)
+11.6%
On penalty kill, Kadri has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Kadri is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (416).
Kadri shoots left. Dowd is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (698).
Home / Away
Kadri
Dowd
Home
48.3% (621)
46.3% (492)
Away
49.6% (589)
49.8% (532)
By Period
Kadri
Dowd
P1
48.1%
49.1%
P2
48.9%
48.2%
P3
49.8%
46.9%
OT
50.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
48.3%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.9%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2024 | 2 | 11:26 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 18, 2024 | 2 | 10:41 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 18, 2024 | 2 | 09:16 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 18, 2024 | 2 | 05:58 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 18, 2024 | 2 | 02:26 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 18, 2024 | 2 | 01:47 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 18, 2024 | 2 | 00:47 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 18, 2024 | 1 | 10:31 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 18, 2024 | 1 | 10:21 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 3 | 11:41 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 2 | 17:38 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |