Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 48.7% vs Dowd 50.7% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 24-22 in 46 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 81.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 60.6%
Neutral zone
Dowd 52.9%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
Kadri
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
24
(46 meetings)
22
24
Kadri
Dowd
Last 10: Kadri 5-5 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
18
2
Kadri
Dowd
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
17
Kadri
Dowd
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
4
5
Kadri
Dowd
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (12,510)
52.4% (6,009)
-4.2%
Power Play
53.0% (1,892)
56.1% (164)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (293)
44.1% (1,635)
-3.1%
On even strength, Dowd has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Kadri is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (5,319).
Kadri shoots left. Dowd is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,134).
Home / Away
Kadri
Dowd
Home
49.1% (7,467)
51.9% (3,897)
Away
48.1% (7,231)
49.5% (3,912)
By Period
Kadri
Dowd
P1
49.2%
51.7%
P2
48.8%
50.4%
P3
48.0%
50.3%
OT
49.0%
45.9%
Final 5 min
48.2%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.6%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 19:51 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 05:11 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 04:58 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 04:45 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 2 | 17:19 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 1 | 04:40 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 19:13 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 15:52 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 03:28 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 17:38 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 11:21 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 05:06 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 2 | 19:50 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 2 | 17:15 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 2 | 17:09 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 1 | 18:42 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 1 | 18:27 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 18, 2024 | 2 | 11:26 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 18, 2024 | 2 | 10:41 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |