Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 46.5% vs Dowd 49.9% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 84.7%
Defensive zone
Dowd 94.7%
Neutral zone
Dowd 65.3%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Kadri
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Kadri
Dowd
Last 10: Kadri 5-5 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
6
0
Kadri
Dowd
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
4
Kadri
Dowd
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kadri
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (1,295)
52.2% (835)
-6.5%
Power Play
52.7% (146)
60.0% (10)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (23)
44.0% (350)
-9.2%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Kadri is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (434).
Kadri shoots left. Dowd is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Home / Away
Kadri
Dowd
Home
46.5% (725)
51.5% (619)
Away
46.0% (739)
48.1% (576)
By Period
Kadri
Dowd
P1
47.2%
51.7%
P2
44.9%
51.6%
P3
46.3%
47.0%
OT
51.4%
22.2%
Final 5 min
46.3%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
46.2%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 19:13 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 15:52 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 03:28 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 17:38 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 11:21 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 05:06 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 2 | 19:50 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 2 | 17:15 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 2 | 17:09 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 1 | 18:42 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 1 | 18:27 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |