Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Kadri wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 47.7% vs Paul 53.4% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 82.3%
Defensive zone
Paul 52.8%
Neutral zone
Kadri 65.6%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 58.3%
58.3%
41.7%
Kadri
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Kadri
Paul
Last 8: Kadri 3-5 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
2
0
Kadri
Paul
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
1
4
Kadri
Paul
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Kadri
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (1,005)
53.8% (753)
-7.6%
Power Play
57.3% (199)
58.9% (90)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (30)
47.4% (78)
-20.7%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Kadri is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (793).
Kadri shoots left. Paul is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Home / Away
Kadri
Paul
Home
47.4% (641)
54.2% (450)
Away
47.6% (593)
53.3% (471)
By Period
Kadri
Paul
P1
46.9%
58.2%
P2
49.5%
50.6%
P3
46.2%
52.9%
OT
42.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.4%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.5%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 16:43 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 07:22 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 15:28 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 03:12 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 12:27 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 09:18 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 01:27 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 11:00 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |