Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kadri wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 47.6% vs Paul 53.3% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 82.6%
Defensive zone
Kadri 78.2%
Neutral zone
Kadri 79.5%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 79.4%
79.4%
20.6%
Kadri
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Kadri
Paul
Last 5: Kadri 0-5 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Kadri
Paul
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
3
Kadri
Paul
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Kadri
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (821)
53.2% (327)
-5.8%
Power Play
48.8% (86)
61.4% (57)
-12.6%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (13)
50.0% (32)
-11.5%
On power play, Paul has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Kadri is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (595).
Kadri shoots left. Paul is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Home / Away
Kadri
Paul
Home
46.6% (487)
54.6% (183)
Away
48.3% (433)
53.6% (233)
By Period
Kadri
Paul
P1
52.7%
56.3%
P2
50.2%
54.8%
P3
40.2%
52.4%
OT
44.4%
44.4%
Final 5 min
47.4%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.4%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 11:14 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 04:27 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 11:56 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 11:32 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 00:39 | Neutral | Nick Paul |