Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Kadri wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 48.7% vs Paul 52.2% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Paul leads 13-7 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 77.9%
Defensive zone
Kadri 54.3%
Neutral zone
Kadri 64.0%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 65.2%
65.2%
34.8%
Kadri
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
13
(20 meetings)
7
13
Kadri
Paul
Last 10: Kadri 2-8 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
5
3
Kadri
Paul
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
2
7
Kadri
Paul
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
0
3
Kadri
Paul
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (12,510)
52.5% (3,796)
-4.3%
Power Play
53.0% (1,892)
56.5% (480)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (293)
46.7% (574)
-5.7%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Kadri is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,379).
Kadri shoots left. Paul is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,067).
Home / Away
Kadri
Paul
Home
49.1% (7,467)
52.7% (2,412)
Away
48.1% (7,231)
51.7% (2,439)
By Period
Kadri
Paul
P1
49.2%
53.9%
P2
48.8%
51.0%
P3
48.0%
52.0%
OT
49.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.6%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 11:14 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 04:27 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 11:56 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 11:32 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 00:39 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 04:05 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 06:01 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 03:55 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 15:56 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 14:49 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 16:43 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 07:22 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 15:28 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 03:12 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 12:27 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 09:18 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 01:27 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 11:00 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 3 | 12:14 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 2 | 06:14 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |