Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Kadri wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 49.0% vs Paul 53.9% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 79.8%
Defensive zone
Kadri 63.1%
Neutral zone
Kadri 69.1%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 74.5%
74.5%
25.5%
Kadri
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Kadri
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Kadri
Paul
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Kadri
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (975)
53.1% (710)
-5.4%
Power Play
54.0% (226)
57.3% (199)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (9)
58.0% (69)
-2.4%
On even strength, Paul has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Kadri is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (794).
Kadri shoots left. Paul is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Home / Away
Kadri
Paul
Home
48.3% (621)
56.0% (466)
Away
49.6% (589)
52.7% (512)
By Period
Kadri
Paul
P1
48.1%
57.2%
P2
48.9%
54.9%
P3
49.8%
51.5%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.3%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.9%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 15:56 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 14:49 | Neutral | Nick Paul |