Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Sturm on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kadri wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 47.6% vs Sturm 53.6% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 88.0%
Defensive zone
Sturm 67.0%
Neutral zone
Kadri 64.2%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Kadri
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Kadri
Sturm
Last 6: Kadri 2-4 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
0
Kadri
Sturm
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
3
Kadri
Sturm
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Kadri
Sturm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (821)
54.6% (271)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (13)
54.4% (90)
-15.9%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Kadri is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (595).
Kadri shoots left. Sturm is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Kadri
Sturm
Home
46.6% (487)
53.0% (168)
Away
48.3% (433)
56.0% (193)
By Period
Kadri
Sturm
P1
52.7%
58.2%
P2
50.2%
53.2%
P3
40.2%
52.3%
OT
44.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.4%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 18:20 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 07:50 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 04:58 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 04:48 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 04:29 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 09:06 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |