Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 49.7% vs Sturm 52.5% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 77.7%
Defensive zone
Sturm 73.9%
Neutral zone
Kadri 50.1%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Kadri
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Kadri
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kadri
Sturm
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (849)
54.0% (480)
-3.8%
Power Play
50.6% (235)
28.6% (7)
+22.0%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (93)
50.0% (102)
-7.0%
On power play, Kadri has a +22.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Kadri is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (689).
Kadri shoots left. Sturm is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Kadri
Sturm
Home
48.5% (557)
54.0% (287)
Away
50.8% (620)
52.0% (302)
By Period
Kadri
Sturm
P1
49.5%
53.5%
P2
51.3%
51.0%
P3
47.8%
55.1%
OT
63.2%
20.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
49.7%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2022 | 3 | 13:46 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 17:48 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |