Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Copp on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Copp wins 56.0% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.5% vs Dowd 49.2% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 87.4%
Defensive zone
Dowd 71.7%
Neutral zone
Copp 63.3%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Copp
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Copp
Dowd
Last 8: Copp 6-2 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
2
0
Copp
Dowd
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
2
Copp
Dowd
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
3
0
Copp
Dowd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (693)
51.9% (640)
+2.4%
Power Play
57.4% (68)
0.0% (2)
+57.4%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (57)
41.6% (221)
+4.0%
On power play, Copp has a +57.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Copp is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (325).
Copp shoots left. Dowd is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (544).
Home / Away
Copp
Dowd
Home
54.4% (408)
48.6% (451)
Away
53.4% (410)
49.8% (412)
By Period
Copp
Dowd
P1
53.3%
48.9%
P2
54.1%
47.6%
P3
54.9%
51.6%
OT
20.0%
30.0%
Final 5 min
60.8%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.9%
Dowd
56.0%▲
48.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 18:20 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 04:45 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 02:54 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 21, 2025 | OT | 02:19 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 15:36 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 00:47 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 17:10 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 13:51 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |