Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Kopitar wins 54.6% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 55.6% vs Dowd 49.2% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 96.8%
Defensive zone
Dowd 51.3%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 78.9%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 82.5%
82.5%
17.5%
Kopitar
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Kopitar
Dowd
Last 8: Kopitar 6-2 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
4
1
Kopitar
Dowd
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
0
Kopitar
Dowd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Kopitar
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (691)
51.9% (640)
+2.9%
Power Play
64.9% (205)
0.0% (2)
+64.9%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (149)
41.6% (221)
+8.7%
On power play, Kopitar has a +64.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Kopitar is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (335).
Kopitar shoots left. Dowd is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (544).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Dowd
Home
56.8% (533)
48.6% (451)
Away
55.5% (512)
49.8% (412)
By Period
Kopitar
Dowd
P1
55.7%
48.9%
P2
57.0%
47.6%
P3
56.0%
51.6%
OT
52.9%
30.0%
Final 5 min
56.6%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
66.0%▲
52.5%
56.2%
Dowd
56.0%▲
48.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 07:02 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 05:03 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 12:16 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 09:24 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 03:20 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 01:51 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 19:03 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 07:08 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |