Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Malkin wins 39.8% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 43.9% vs Dowd 48.1% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 73.1%
Defensive zone
Malkin 71.3%
Neutral zone
Malkin 73.9%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 72.6%
72.6%
27.4%
Malkin
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Malkin
Dowd
Last 6: Malkin 0-6 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
3
Malkin
Dowd
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
2
Malkin
Dowd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Malkin
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (827)
47.2% (608)
-4.5%
Power Play
63.2% (19)
53.1% (96)
+10.1%
On power play, Malkin has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Malkin is 39.8% vs right-shot opponents (299).
Malkin shoots left. Dowd is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (483).
Home / Away
Malkin
Dowd
Home
45.1% (426)
48.7% (384)
Away
41.2% (420)
46.7% (323)
By Period
Malkin
Dowd
P1
41.3%
50.2%
P2
44.0%
47.5%
P3
44.7%
46.2%
OT
25.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
43.1%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2016 | 3 | 10:14 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 1 | 10:11 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 3, 2016 | OT | 02:12 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 02:47 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 2 | 03:16 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 1 | 07:28 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |