Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Draisaitl wins 57.5% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 54.6% vs Dowd 50.7% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 97.2%
Defensive zone
Dowd 76.6%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 75.7%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 68.4%
68.4%
31.6%
Draisaitl
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
2
(11 meetings)
9
2
Draisaitl
Dowd
Last 10: Draisaitl 8-2 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
6
0
Draisaitl
Dowd
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Draisaitl
Dowd
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
0
Draisaitl
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (974)
55.2% (625)
-2.8%
Power Play
59.5% (373)
57.1% (7)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
61.0% (123)
38.2% (220)
+22.8%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +22.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (520).
Draisaitl shoots left. Dowd is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Dowd
Home
54.5% (778)
53.7% (445)
Away
55.3% (692)
47.7% (407)
By Period
Draisaitl
Dowd
P1
54.6%
48.8%
P2
56.1%
49.3%
P3
53.3%
54.0%
OT
66.7%
44.4%
Final 5 min
52.7%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.9%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2022 | 3 | 18:08 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 3 | 10:03 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 3 | 02:55 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 1 | 19:00 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 1 | 11:18 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 3 | 18:09 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 3 | 17:07 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 3 | 10:23 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 3 | 08:42 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 2 | 08:58 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 1 | 11:27 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |