Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 49.7% vs Dowd 53.3% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 75.7%
Defensive zone
Dowd 89.2%
Neutral zone
Dowd 65.1%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Kadri
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Kadri
Dowd
Last 7: Kadri 5-2 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
4
1
Kadri
Dowd
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Kadri
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
0
Kadri
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (849)
55.4% (771)
-5.2%
Power Play
50.6% (235)
57.1% (7)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (93)
45.5% (165)
-2.5%
On power play, Dowd has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Kadri is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (488).
Kadri shoots left. Dowd is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Kadri
Dowd
Home
48.5% (557)
58.2% (462)
Away
50.8% (620)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Kadri
Dowd
P1
49.5%
55.6%
P2
51.3%
50.5%
P3
47.8%
53.9%
OT
63.2%
75.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
48.0%▼
49.5%
49.7%
Dowd
48.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2021 | 3 | 16:44 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 3 | 09:49 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 3 | 04:47 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 2 | 16:41 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 1 | 18:07 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 1 | 18:02 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 1 | 08:33 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |