Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Dowd wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 53.3% vs Bjugstad 53.8% (-1.6%)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 66.8%
Defensive zone
Dowd 72.9%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 50.4%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Dowd
Bjugstad
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (771)
55.9% (245)
-0.5%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
0.0% (3)
+57.1%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (165)
57.1% (7)
-11.6%
On power play, Dowd has a +57.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Dowd is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (322).
Dowd shoots right. Bjugstad is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (57).
Home / Away
Dowd
Bjugstad
Home
58.2% (462)
53.2% (111)
Away
49.3% (481)
56.9% (144)
By Period
Dowd
Bjugstad
P1
55.6%
44.6%
P2
50.5%
61.4%
P3
53.9%
61.3%
Final 5 min
53.1%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%